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photo: http://www.personal.psu.edu/ |
Like
always, I support or oppose any given political incident given the valuation I
give it. For me, Museveni’s intervention has both negative and positive aspects
to it. And both of these have something to teach not only the South Sudanese
people but the Ugandans themselves; who seem to be in a deep political slumber;
or a hypnotic semblance of democracy.
While
there are positive sides to this ‘intervention’, the ‘intervention’ is largely
negative because it’s self-interest motivated and unintelligibly pursued.Pros of Museveni’s Intervention
The White Army and the Nuer soldiers who joined Dr. Riek Machar in his Rebellion didn’t do so because they wanted to per se. It’s very clear that they did so as a response to the reported massacres of unarmed Nuer civilians in Juba. This tells me that had the ‘White Army’ advanced to Juba or captured Juba, the city would have been a grotesque scene of massive tribal genocide. My reasoning rests on the fact that the White Army had and still has no clear political agenda. With no doubt, they only wanted to take revenge regarding what they heard coming out of Juba.
This
is manifest in what they did in Bor, Malakal and Bentiu and other areas they
mindlessly ravaged.
Museveni’s
‘intervention’ therefore helped prevent the capture of Juba and the avoidance of
what would have been a massive genocide.
We
also need to remember also that had Riek and the White Army captured Juba,
President Kiir wouldn’t have just given up and leave Riek Machar to assume
presidency. Having seen how the president relies so much on his Jieeng
tribesmen, it’s conceivable that the president would have actually mobilized
the Jieeng tribe to reclaim his presidency or wage a guerrilla-style war.
Whatever
the case would have been, the capture of Juba would have been a disaster for
South Sudan because the WA would have done what they did in Bor, Bentiu and
Malakal by going on a killing rampage!
Another
positive consequence of Museveni’s ‘intervention’ is the fact that it showed
South Sudan’s leadership that a strong, cohesive, well-trained and
always-paid-on-time army is crucial for national defense.
The Cons of Museveni’s Intervention
Museveni
and Uganda People’s Defense Force (UPDF) made a mockery of not only the South
Sudanese national army but also, South Sudanese generally. Had President
Museveni been a conscientious leader who’s helping out a fellow president,
Museveni would have put his UPDF forces under the solid command of the SPLA
without any exception.