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Monday, October 13, 2025

The Secession of the Upper Nile Region: Brazen but not Ridiculous

 


Photo: Courtesy of Dr. Deng Bol Aruai's Facebook Page


The proposal by Dr. Deng Bol Aruai (DBA) for the secession of the Upper Nile region from South Sudan is fascinating. It is neither ridiculous nor is it acceptable. It is a double-edged sword. Looked at carefully, one can find a silver lining in the proposition not only for Upper Nile but for South Sudan. I will come back to this silver lining.

But it can also be a very dangerous proposition. Meaning it can be used by power and ethnic entrepreneurs and megalomaniacs to create elite-centered, infra-national, micro-states useful for resource control. The interest of such people is not freedom, democracy or the provision of services to the people. It is only the change of guards and center of power.

This is what postcolonial African leaders did. They fought European colonial powers only to become the very colonial potentates and extractive politico-capitalists, quasi-foreigners subjecting their people to the same control structures. As Frantz Fanon has argued in The Wretched of the Earth, some freedom fighters were not fighting the oppressor for freedom; they were fighting the oppressor for a chance to be like the oppressor.

SPLM leaders, as many of us are aware, have done the same thing. They got rid of Khartoum’s elite only to assume the same oppressive and marginalizing governance modus operandi in Juba.

In other words, Dr. Deng’s proposal could provide a political, social and economic currency for those whose interest are small fiefdom, some pseudo-feudal states they can control.

Because I have not talked to Deng Bol to ascertain the deeper social, political and economic issues behind his proposal, I want to be circumspect about assuming his motives. I will therefore leave my cautionary statement at that.

But the proposal can have a silver lining: A chance for a deeper reflective, reflexive process.  Why? People who want to protect the status quo usually treat revolutionary ideas with disdain. Trying to understand either the revolutionary proposal or the reason for which such proposals are suggested in the first place serves no purpose for them. Instant disdain and categorical rejections of such proposals are the first and only responses. Rationalizing or analyzing to find out their possible usefulness to them is a waste of time. Preposterous!

But why?

If the power structure benefits the powers that be as it is, they see no reason to change it.  “If it ain’t broke, why fix it,” as the Americans would say. That new ideas should be considered rationally and factually without being discarded a priori is still foreign to us. It should not be.

But in South Sudan, it is not only those in power who dismiss revolutionary ideas before they are considered thoroughly. Even those who have been left utterly destitute and despondent by a broken, rotten system in South Sudan still protect it, astonishingly. These are the people unashamedly calling Deng Bol names.

What we have failed to learn, and I am not sure why some of us learn it and others have not, is that you don’t have to accept a given proposal for you to treat it with the respect it deserves. Before one dismisses and administrative or political proposal, it is prudent, even professional, to consider its merits and flaws before rejecting it.

Considering the merits and flaws of any revolutionary (read bizarre) does not make you beholden to its acceptance. It only shows that your leadership is mature, sophisticated and resistant to superficialities.

Calling Deng Bol names or considering his mobility issues pre-conditions for national leadership only reflects the depravity of our society. We can reject Deng’s proposal without descending into needless emotional paroxysm draped in ableist nonsense. We can rubbish his ideas (not him ad hominem) by asking him to provide political, economic and social justification for his proposal, brazen as it appears to many of us.

I reject Deng’s proposal for the same reason I reject ethnic federalism. That Bahr El Ghazal is the problem is either a willful disinformation, because I do not think Deng Bol can be misinformed about the suffering in Bahr El Ghazal, or he is using it as a negotiation instrument not for himself but to force President Kiir and members of his court (in a European medieval sense) to pay attention: That the country may disintegrate.

For all the king’s courtiers to stick their heads in the mud thinking that everything is business as usual would have to be abandoned. If they realize Deng’s proposal is only a tip of a gigantic socio-political ice-berg, that is.

There is a Movement in the Equatorias for secession. There is also a campaign by some Nuer for independence of Nuer Nation (Rol Naath). The presence of administrative areas such as Ruweng and Pibor is symptomatic of secessionist sentiments writ small. These are all about discontent with someone or with some maladministration of some authority.

Before once dismisses Deng’s proposal mindlessly, one needs to ask oneself: What has motivated Deng to propose such a radical idea? The “why?” matters more than what happened or what is proposed. We also need to remember that “normal” ideas have never brought any change. Radical ideas, which become “normal” with time, bring about change. Think about all revolutionaries! How normal were their ideas?

But Deng knows very well that Upper Nile, Bahr El Ghazal and Equatoria have their internal problems. The moment the scapegoat has escaped, the internal scapegoat is created. While I agree the departure of President Kiir and some of the men around him may usher in a possible change in our political culture, I think secession breeds other problems. Some of the people destroying South Sudan around President Kiir are from Upper Nile. What would we do with them once we secede?

There is therefore no guarantee that Upper Nile as a sovereign state would be any peaceful and developed. What has sons and daughters of Upper Nile done so far in their own states, counties and bomas? Do they have existing social, political and economic practices that can be considered prototypes of a prosperous sovereign state writ small? No! Is it coincidental that all administrative areas are in Upper Nile? No! Internal discontent!

Is Dr. Deng showing promising signs of what Gregory Burns calls a transformative, moral leadership? No! Is there transparency in Deng’s initiative? No! In fact, Deng has already started to use “decrees”, a bad sign from the beginning for democracy.

But as much as I think Deng Bol’s proposal is wrong-headed, I also believe Deng is making us rethink some of the issues we take for granted. That is the silver lining. People should not belong to the same country just because we think it is right, normative. They should belong in the same country because all the elements that make one feel like what Philosopher Robert Paul Wolff calls “a full citizen” exist.

What does this mean then?

Let us learn the art of entertaining ideas we don’t like before we reject them. Ideas are not wrong because we don’t like them or because they come from people we don’t like.

And I have not forgotten. Secessionist processes can be bloody and protracted.

Of course, Deng Bol is not ignorant of this. Political independence is never given away peacefully. Southern Sudan (Sudan), Katanga (DR Congo), Biafra (Nigeria), Taiwan (China), Tibet (China) and Western Sahara (Morocco) are good examples of how centers of powers can make even a peaceful quest for independence, even on sound grounds, bloody and terrifying.

Here is my main message. As a country of diverse ethnic groups and political opinions, let’s get used to the idea that citizens can table proposals, any bizarre or ridiculous ideas, regarding how the country should be governed. We don’t have to accept them. But we must consider them as ideas coming from fellow citizens.

Dismissing ideas a priori is a luxury of petulant children or those who status quo is profitable. As Machiavelli has argued in The Prince, those who are used to immoral governance methods that benefit them see no reason for change

Taken with a more philosophical and political grain of salt, Deng’s proposal is neither bad nor is it good. Its results, positive or negative, depends on who operationalizes it.

We can reject it but still use it to reflect deeply on the state of affair. Or we can use it to think about alternative forms of government. Hasn’t federalism, or decentralization as some politely call it, been the popular demands of the people of South Sudan since the 1950s? Wasn’t confederation one of John Garang’s administrative proposals?

Who governs us is irrelevant. How they govern is all that matters.


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Kuir ë Garang (PhD) is the editor of the TPR. 

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The Secession of the Upper Nile Region: Brazen but not Ridiculous

  Photo: Courtesy of Dr. Deng Bol Aruai's Facebook Page The proposal by Dr. Deng Bol Aruai (DBA) for the secession of the Upper Nile reg...